There remain a few days before the close of poll, but it should move much more ... A clear majority (53%) emerged for "Unlikely", whereas the delay that I took after the first 3 months will be insurmountable. The rest of the voters shared roughly equally between "No, he did not level" and "Possible but it will have much luck." There is only one optimist who vote "Yes" and I confess that I know who it is (and no, it's not even me, I for one am certain that I will have a chance to do monstrous ...). So to you, the optimist (smug?), Tell me who you are, since you're the last one I may still disappoint in the months ahead:)
The scales tip so the negative side, and rightly so in view of the very poor results achieved so far ... I admit I myself also quite torn between voting "unlikely" and "possible", so it is difficult to display certainty on this game ready to relegate us to the wall when we think be on track.
Feedback interested me a lot and I thank you. I do however disagree with everything I read, starting with what comes up most frequently, namely that 100 k € is an amount too high and unrealistic. At the risk of irresponsible given what I've shown so far, it does not seem at all an overly high goal.
course, given where I am, chances of success are slim and will require large MTT results. But nothing completely preposterous either. To convince you, I did a little business plan about nine months I have left, starting from the situation in late November. This estimate relates only to the cash game, only because this discipline can consider some regularity (although we know that this regularity is a utopia that will never happen, we can model with some parameters, and construct a kind of budget).
So I went with my result at the end of November and have simulated a projection that is certainly optimistic, but nevertheless seems fairly realistic. Everything is based on the fact that I played about 35k hands per month, and I continue to grow over the months which will enable me to increase my winrate a reasonable limit.
I'm starting to redo some shots at NL100 now, and plan to do the same in January. In all likelihood, I found so good for the NL100 late January, having won the 3100 € I had set a goal before going to a limit. Then I plan to stay only for a fortnight in NL100 because when I was down again in August, it was in order to gain only 20 wineries (and there remained 16.5 to reach the day when the challenge began). I then arbitrarily set after winning € 12,000 in NL200 I can start my own NL400.
Obviously, this is very aggressive (and risky), but I have too much time to lose and we will have to take some risks. So that, it makes this:
seem to € 50k still possible in CG! Obviously, this means that it will win the rest in MTT ... € 50k and with MTT, starting a little less than 2000 € is a considerable amount. Can not try to project anything, because success breeds success. The sooner I slam the big perf (a victory Sunday night to € 20k, for example?), The faster I go up my buy-in means, and therefore increase my chances of snapping the second big perf will be necessary for successful this challenge.
It stretched the briefs, whatever! But not crazy either ... However, it has not escaped me that this exercise purely theoretical course was not a great value. And it is clear that time is against me and the chances of success are slim. But all I wanted to demonstrate here is that 100 k € is not (yet) an unattainable goal, provided that I can well meet the NL400 in a few months ...
I now refer to some more personal comments.
To meet Jessy, this is not just a question of needs. I do not believe that my main goal is to get to live this game for me, in fact, the most important thing is to be given to me an ambitious and strive to achieve the reach. I still consider myself as an interim poker, and do not really visualize the food side. I'm not sure how long this will last interim (actually, although I still find this very pleasant interlude, the first signs of a form of nostalgia for some aspects of the job begin to appear vaguely) but I am on one thing: I'm not ready to consider making my life over time in the case of a result around 25k € ...
I liked the somewhat provocative comment of the anonymous (Bob?). Moreover, I wish he also identifies. Assuming he is not who voted "Yes" to the survey, of course ... -:) Is it someone I know IRL? (It looks a bit like a close friend who would care to see me fuck up my life) ...
To answer you, dear Bob, I am not in agreement as explained above with your premise, "From today you can be sure you do not earn 100,000 euros this year, far from it."
For everything else, I am more in tune with everything you write. It is obvious, one of four it will probably whistle the end of recess and do it again something serious in my life. Is a matter of envy or because I am convinced that once like you that this challenge is no longer feasible. And I will confirm: This challenge, I "do it for me please! As would a world tour or we could write a book because it is an old passion itchy ...". In fact, I consider myself on vacation, a kind of interlude in which I take a lot of fun. Besides the pleasure I have to play, what occupation is to review "A Fistful of Dollars" with her children on a Wednesday afternoon as I do today?
Besides, I'll tell you a secret: I never told anyone around me (family, friends etc ...) I had become a professional poker. The official version (and the reality of what I feel) is that I am granted the right to a break after having worked like crazy for 17 years ... And yes of course, during those long holiday, I do what makes me happy, starting to play much poker ...
But there is that readers of this blog know that I might someday consider doing my job really ... provided always necessary but not sufficient, and more and more uncertain, having earned € 100k in August 30, 2011!
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